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model_dynamic_fc.py
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import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import pymc3 as pm
import theano.tensor as tt
import theano
import csv
import os
import timeit
from datetime import date
import warnings
warnings.filterwarnings('ignore')
def get_data(name):
yreader = csv.reader(open(name + ".csv"))
Y = np.array([row for row in yreader]).astype(float)
return Y
def get_func(name, n):
sreader = csv.reader(open(name + ".csv"))
mFunc = np.array([row for row in sreader]).astype(float)
func_new = np.array(mFunc[0, 0:n*(n-1)//2])
func_temp = np.triu(np.ones([n, n]),1)
func_temp[func_temp==1] = func_new
Func_mat = func_temp.T + np.eye(n) + func_temp
return Func_mat
def get_struct(name, n):
sreader = csv.reader(open(name + ".csv"))
S_read = np.array([row for row in sreader]).astype(float)
struct_new = np.array(S_read[0:n*(n-1)//2, 0])
Struct_temp = np.triu(np.ones([n, n]), 1)
Struct_temp[Struct_temp ==1] = struct_new
Struct_mat = Struct_temp.T + np.eye(n) + Struct_temp
return Struct_mat
def get_dist(name, n):
Dist = []
for i in range(1, n+1):
distreader = csv.reader(open(name + "_" + str(i) + ".csv"))
Dist.append(np.array([row for row in distreader]).astype(float))
return Dist
def run_model(index, slide_index, Y, mFunc, Struct, Dist, n, kernel, lambdaw, Kf, sample_size, tune_size):
"""
index: index of object data
slide_index: index of slide window
Y: time-series data
mFunc: functional connectivity
Struct: structural connectivity
Dist: distribution matrix of n ROIs
n: ROI number
kernel: "exponential" or "gaussian" or "matern52" or "matern32"
lambdaw: weighted parameter
kf: weighted parameter
sample_size: NUTS number
tune_size: burning number
"""
m = Dist[0].shape[0]
k = Y.shape[1]
n_vec= n*(n+1)//2
Y_mean = []
for i in range(n):
Y_mean.append(np.mean(Y[i*m:(i+1)*m, 0]))
Y_mean = np.array(Y_mean)
with pm.Model() as model_generator:
# convariance matrix
log_Sig = pm.Uniform("log_Sig", -8, 8, shape = (n, ))
SQ = tt.diag(tt.sqrt(tt.exp(log_Sig)))
Func_Covm = tt.dot(tt.dot(SQ, mFunc), SQ)
Struct_Convm = tt.dot(tt.dot(SQ, Struct), SQ)
# double fusion of structural and FC
L_fc_vec = tt.reshape(tt.slinalg.cholesky(tt.squeeze(Func_Covm)).T[np.triu_indices(n)], (n_vec, ))
L_st_vec = tt.reshape(tt.slinalg.cholesky(tt.squeeze(Struct_Convm)).T[np.triu_indices(n)], (n_vec, ))
Struct_vec = tt.reshape(Struct[np.triu_indices(n)], (n_vec, ))
rhonn = Kf*( (1-lambdaw)*L_fc_vec + lambdaw*L_st_vec ) + \
(1-Kf)*( (1-Struct_vec*lambdaw)*L_fc_vec + Struct_vec*lambdaw*L_st_vec )
# correlation
Cov_temp = tt.triu(tt.ones((n,n)))
Cov_temp = tt.set_subtensor(Cov_temp[np.triu_indices(n)], rhonn)
Cov_mat_v = tt.dot(Cov_temp.T, Cov_temp)
d = tt.sqrt(tt.diagonal(Cov_mat_v))
rho = (Cov_mat_v.T/d).T/d
rhoNew = pm.Deterministic("rhoNew", rho[np.triu_indices(n,1)])
# temporal correlation AR(1)
phi_T = pm.Uniform("phi_T", 0, 1, shape = (n, ))
sigW_T = pm.Uniform("sigW_T", 0, 100, shape = (n, ))
B = pm.Normal("B", 0, 100, shape = (n, ))
muW1 = Y_mean - B # get the shifted mean
mean_overall = muW1/(1.0-phi_T) # AR(1) mean
tau_overall = (1.0-tt.sqr(phi_T))/tt.sqr(sigW_T) # AR (1) variance
W_T = pm.MvNormal("W_T", mu = mean_overall, tau = tt.diag(tau_overall), shape = (k, n))
# add all parts together
one_m_vec = tt.ones((m, 1))
one_k_vec = tt.ones((1, k))
D = pm.MvNormal("D", mu = tt.zeros(n), cov = Cov_mat_v, shape = (n, ))
phi_s = pm.Uniform("phi_s", 0, 20, shape = (n, ))
spat_prec = pm.Uniform("spat_prec", 0, 100, shape = (n, ))
H_base = pm.Normal("H_base", 0, 1, shape = (m, n))
Mu_all = tt.zeros((m*n, k))
if kernel == "exponential":
for i in range(n):
r = Dist[i]*phi_s[i]
H_temp = tt.sqr(spat_prec[i])*tt.exp(-r)
L_H_temp = tt.slinalg.cholesky(H_temp)
Mu_all_update = tt.set_subtensor(Mu_all[m*i:m*(i+1), :], B[i] + D[i] + one_m_vec*W_T[:,i] + \
tt.dot(L_H_temp, tt.reshape(H_base[:,i], (m, 1)))*one_k_vec)
Mu_all = Mu_all_update
elif kernel == "gaussian":
for i in range(n):
r = Dist[i]*phi_s[i]
H_temp = tt.sqr(spat_prec[i])*tt.exp(-tt.sqr(r)*0.5)
L_H_temp = tt.slinalg.cholesky(H_temp)
Mu_all_update = tt.set_subtensor(Mu_all[m*i:m*(i+1), :], B[i] + D[i] + one_m_vec*W_T[:,i] + \
tt.dot(L_H_temp, tt.reshape(H_base[:,i], (m, 1)))*one_k_vec)
Mu_all = Mu_all_update
elif kernel == "matern52":
for i in range(n):
r = Dist[i]*phi_s[i]
H_temp = tt.sqr(spat_prec[i])*((1.0+tt.sqrt(5.0)*r+5.0/3.0*tt.sqr(r))*tt.exp(-1.0*tt.sqrt(5.0)*r))
L_H_temp = tt.slinalg.cholesky(H_temp)
Mu_all_update = tt.set_subtensor(Mu_all[m*i:m*(i+1), :], B[i] + D[i] + one_m_vec*W_T[:,i] + \
tt.dot(L_H_temp, tt.reshape(H_base[:,i], (m, 1)))*one_k_vec)
Mu_all = Mu_all_update
elif kernel == "matern32":
for i in range(n):
r = Dist[i]*phi_s[i]
H_temp = tt.sqr(spat_prec[i])*(1.0+tt.sqrt(3.0)*r)*tt.exp(-tt.sqrt(3.0)*r)
L_H_temp = tt.slinalg.cholesky(H_temp)
Mu_all_update = tt.set_subtensor(Mu_all[m*i:m*(i+1), :], B[i] + D[i] + one_m_vec*W_T[:,i] + \
tt.dot(L_H_temp, tt.reshape(H_base[:,i], (m, 1)))*one_k_vec)
Mu_all = Mu_all_update
sigma_error_prec = pm.Uniform("sigma_error_prec", 0, 100)
Y1 = pm.Normal("Y1", mu = Mu_all, sd = sigma_error_prec, observed = Y)
with model_generator:
step = pm.NUTS()
trace = pm.sample(sample_size, step = step, tune = tune_size, chains = 1)
# save as pandas format and output the csv file
save_trace = pm.trace_to_dataframe(trace)
save_trace.to_csv(out_dir + date.today().strftime("%m_%d_%y") + \
"_sample_size_" + str(sample_size) + "_index_" + str(index) + "_slide_index_" + str(slide_index) +".csv")
# initializing parameters
index_list = [8007, 8012, 8049, 8050, 8068, 8072, 8077, 8080, \
8098, 8107, 8110, 8146, 8216, 8244, 8245, 8246, \
8248, 8250, 8253, 8256, 8257, 8261, 8262, 8263, \
8264, 8265, 8266, 8273, 8276, 8279, 8280, 8282, \
8283, 8284, 8285, 8288, 8290, 8292, 8293, 8295, \
8299]
in_dir = "/Users/ruiwang/source/doublefusion/simulation/data/" # in_dir: set up work directory
out_dir = "/Users/ruiwang/source/doublefusion/simulation/results/" # out_dir: save the trace as csv in the out directory
data_filename = "ROI_timeseries_data" # data_filename: filename for time series data
func_filename = "DMN_MeanFunctional_Connectivity" # func_filename: filename for functional connectivity
struct_filename = "DMN_StructuralConnectivity" # struct_filename: filename for structural connectivity
dist_filename = "distMatrix_ROI" # dist_filename: filename for distribution matrix of n ROIs
kernel = "exponential"
n = 14
sample_size = 1000
tune_size = 500 ## make it smaller for dynamic FC
# run the model
for index in index_list:
# obtain the previous results
df_previous = pd.read_csv(out_dir + date.today().strftime("%m_%d_%y") + "_sample_size_" + str(sample_size) + "_index_" + str(index) + ".csv")
# lambdaw estimated from the median of previsous results, (105, )
lambdaw = np.squeeze(df_previous[df_previous.columns[df_previous.columns.str.startswith("lambdaw")]].median(axis = 0).values)
# Kf estimated from the median of previsous results, (105, )
Kf = np.squeeze(df_previous[df_previous.columns[df_previous.columns.str.startswith("Kf")]].median(axis = 0).values)
os.chdir(in_dir + str(index))
Y = get_data(data_filename)
mFunc = get_func(func_filename, n)
Struct = get_struct(struct_filename, n)
Dist = get_dist(dist_filename, n)
t_interval = 25 # set the interval length to be 25
t_total = Y.shape[1] # the total is 150
for slide_index in range(t_total-t_interval):
Y_slide = Y[:, slide_index:(slide_index+t_interval)]
run_model(index, slide_index, Y_slide, mFunc, Struct, Dist, n, kernel, lambdaw, Kf, sample_size, tune_size)